Minority Report: The Impact of Predicted Grades on University Admissions of Disadvantaged Groups

Autor/inn/en	Murphy, Richard; Wyness, Gill
Titel	Minority Report: The Impact of Predicted Grades on University Admissions of Disadvantaged Groups
Quelle	In: Education Economics, 28 (2020) 4, S.333-350 (18 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	0964-5292
DOI	10.1080/09645292.2020.1761945
Schlagwörter	Grades (Scholastic); Labor Market; Social Mobility; College Applicants; Longitudinal Studies; Prediction; Outcomes of Education; Foreign Countries; Disadvantaged; Minority Group Students; College Admission; Selective Admission; College Choice; Educational Attainment; Student College Relationship; Low Income Groups; Correlation; Costs; United Kingdom + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Notenspiegel; Labour market; Arbeitsmarkt; Soziale Mobilität; College applications; Studienbewerber; Longitudinal study; Longitudinal method; Longitudinal methods; Längsschnittuntersuchung; Vorhersage; Lernleistung; Schulerfolg; Ausland; Hochschulzugang; Hochschulzulassung; Zulassung; Bildungsselektion; Studienortwahl; Bildungsabschluss; Bildungsgut; Korrelation; Cost; Kosten; Großbritannien
Abstract	We study the UK's university application system, in which students apply based on predicted examination grades, rather than actual results. Using three years of UK university applications data we find that only 16% of applicants' predicted grades are accurate, with 75% of applicants having over-predicted grades. However, high-attaining, disadvantaged students are significantly more likely to receive pessimistic grade predictions. We show that under-predicted candidates are more likely to enrol in courses for which they are over qualified. We conclude that the use of predicted rather than actual grades has important implications for labour market outcomes and social mobility. (As Provided).
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Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2024/1/01