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| Autor/inn/en | Borden, Victor M. H.; Dalphin, John F. |
|---|---|
| Titel | Simulating the Effect of Student Profile Changes on Retention and Graduation Rates: A Markov Chain Analysis. AIR 1998 Annual Forum Paper. |
| Quelle | (1998), (21 Seiten)
PDF als Volltext kostenfreie Datei |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; online; Monographie |
| Schlagwörter | Academic Persistence; College Students; Credits; Enrollment; Grade Point Average; Graduation; Higher Education; Markov Processes; Models; Predictor Variables; School Holding Power; Simulation; Student Characteristics; Universities |
| Abstract | This study used Markov chain matrices to simulate the effect of varying degrees of change in student characteristics on retention and graduation rates. Data were applied to a 1-year enrollment transition matrix that tracks how students of each class level progress into the same or higher class levels, to a completed degree, or to non-returning status. The results indicated that there are large, initial differences in graduation rates according to grade-point average (GPA) and course credit-load differences among students. Despite the strong association between grades and retention, this analysis indicated that even a 25 percent upward shift in grade distribution increased the total graduation rate by only 2.4 percent. A shift in 25 percent of students toward higher credit-load categories resulted in a total increase in the graduation rate of less than 1 percent. The simulation demonstrates that even significant changes in the distribution of students by GPA and course credit-load do not yield significant changes in graduation rates. (MDM) |
| Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
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