Literaturnachweis - Detailanzeige
| Autor/in | Ebert, Philip A. |
|---|---|
| Titel | Bayesian Reasoning in Avalanche Terrain: A Theoretical Investigation |
| Quelle | In: Journal of Adventure Education and Outdoor Learning, 19 (2019) 1, S.84-95 (12 Seiten)Infoseite zur Zeitschrift
PDF als Volltext |
| Zusatzinformation | ORCID (Ebert, Philip A.) |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Dokumenttyp | gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz |
| ISSN | 1472-9679 |
| DOI | 10.1080/14729679.2018.1508356 |
| Schlagwörter | Bayesian Statistics; Decision Making; Outdoor Education; Natural Disasters; Risk Management; Recreational Activities; Probability; Teaching Methods; Accuracy |
| Abstract | In this article, I explore a Bayesian approach to avalanche decision-making. I motivate this perspective by highlighting a version of the base-rate fallacy and show that a similar pattern applies to decision-making in avalanche-terrain. I then draw out three theoretical lessons from adopting a Bayesian approach and discuss these lessons critically. Lastly, I highlight a number of challenges for avalanche educators when incorporating the Bayesian perspective in their curriculum. (As Provided). |
| Anmerkungen | Routledge. Available from: Taylor & Francis, Ltd. 530 Walnut Street Suite 850, Philadelphia, PA 19106. Tel: 800-354-1420; Tel: 215-625-8900; Fax: 215-207-0050; Web site: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals |
| Erfasst von | ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC |
| Update | 2020/1/01 |
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